Graphical decision models, such as decision trees and decision diagrams, represent decision processes using graphs whose nodes or edges encode decision variables. Their intuitive structure has made them a popular tool for prediction, modeling human decision-making, and capturing combinatorial structure. Hence, these models have deep connections to optimization, where they are used to formulate complex discrete problems. In this work, we propose new convexification techniques for graphical decision models that yield stronger formulations. Our approach systematically exploits graph structure to derive strong valid inequalities, enhancing both theoretical understanding and computational performance. We further demonstrate that these techniques extend naturally to a broader class of problems, including network design, showing their versatility.
Long-term grid resilience planning requires making a sequence of interdependent investments under deep uncertainty in future hazards, climate trajectories, and system evolution. Classical robust and stochastic planning frameworks either assume a fixed uncertainty set or rely on scenario enumeration that cannot capture evolving risk profiles over multi-decadal horizons. This paper presents a multi-stage adaptive robust optimization (MS-ARO) framework for long-term grid resilience planning that dynamically reallocates investments as new information unfolds. The proposed formulation couples (i) a stage-wise uncertainty model that captures the progressive revelation of extreme-weather risk, infrastructure aging, and load growth; (ii) adaptive decision policies that allow mid-course corrections while respecting a global budget; and (iii) a tractable decomposition algorithm that exploits the nested structure of the uncertainty sets. Computational experiments, using large-scale outage and infrastructure data from U.S. utilities, demonstrate that MS-ARO substantially outperforms static and two-stage robust models by enabling earlier identification of high-risk regions, avoiding myopic over-hardening, and yielding more reliable long-term investment portfolios. Our results highlight the importance of adaptive, risk-aware optimization for grid resilience in the face of compounding climate and operational uncertainties.